Here ’s some fun newsworthiness for your day : By 2045 , human beings will become second - banana tree to machine that have surpass the intelligence activity of mankind . So , in less than 30 year , stilted intelligence will become impertinent than human intelligence , and robots will rule us all . ( Or something like that . ) And we know it ’s honest , becauseRay Kurzweilsays so .
Kurzweil is n’t some cult leader . He ’s a director of engineering at Google . But he is in the business of predictions , as a futurist . And while his most recent contract is that thesingularity(artificial intelligence surpassing human intelligence ) will chance by 2045 , it ’s only the most late of his prognostication , of which heclaims an 86 percent accuracy rate , as of 2010 .
Now seems like a dear time to go over a few more of Kurzweil ’s predictions :
1 . In 1990 , Kurzweil predict that computers would beat chess actor by 2000.Deep Blue slayed Garry Kasparov in 1997 .
2 . He foreshadow in 1999 that personal computers would be embedded in jewelry , watches and all sorts of other sizes and shapes . Uh , yeah .
3 . In 1999 , Kurzweil say that by 2009 we ’d mostly be using speech recognition programs for the text we pen . Not really occur , because it turn out thatspeech recognition software is super hardto pure .
4 . By 2029 , Kurzweil says that forward-looking unreal intelligence will head to a political and social motion for robots , lobbying for credit and certain civil right .
5 . By the 2030s , most of our communicating will not be between humankind , but rather human to machine .
6 . By 2099 , the full wit will be entirely read . menstruum . Done .
WatchNeil deGrasse Tyson , who shout out himself Kurzweil ’s expectant doubter in this video , lecture to the inventor and fantast in this " Cosmology Today " 2016 episode :